Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 2082.220527 2269.468345 2460.681693 2670.262000 2893.222954 3123.044087 3377.550201
2024-10-27 1707.535623 1974.421827 2258.950054 2583.742802 2943.084192 3327.351921 3768.187357
2024-11-03 1569.408943 1893.064665 2248.772015 2666.387671 3140.853883 3660.770388 4271.115708
2024-11-10 1449.197626 1812.386130 2221.956265 2714.198100 3285.760346 3924.561022 4688.378501
2024-11-17 1324.371376 1712.560803 2160.788309 2711.012856 3362.433970 4103.267758 5003.397233
2024-11-24 1204.533138 1607.890875 2084.129009 2680.373524 3399.008358 4229.326605 5252.859616
2024-12-01 1130.229064 1552.039985 2059.981567 2706.968353 3498.906024 4426.412331 5583.858296
2024-12-08 1051.855134 1485.107589 2016.945911 2705.711148 3561.312368 4576.318133 5857.624339
2024-12-15 1006.407114 1456.454930 2018.360124 2756.699571 3685.673253 4799.936713 6220.432665
2024-12-22 934.835952 1389.131365 1966.673314 2737.255808 3719.826406 4911.930575 6447.130384
2024-12-29 903.948426 1373.457564 1979.422465 2798.241985 3853.840656 5146.558197 6825.069638
2025-01-05 857.359134 1333.619452 1958.115146 2813.177109 3928.062139 5306.525957 7111.453684
2025-01-12 809.374123 1290.172047 1931.054158 2820.518336 3993.732668 5458.456258 7392.604889
2025-01-19 729.138867 1197.105703 1833.280005 2730.515952 3930.176839 5444.991101 7465.012391
2025-01-26 717.286478 1201.001749 1867.193915 2816.712029 4097.547822 5726.750493 7913.059005
2025-02-02 694.052546 1186.787857 1874.868906 2866.565423 4216.779924 5947.433754 8285.189864
2025-02-09 655.195326 1147.198683 1845.005340 2863.244341 4263.890416 6074.349390 8537.533157
2025-02-16 610.247019 1095.887120 1796.117296 2831.296407 4270.597054 6147.356311 8719.784373
2025-02-23 586.258370 1075.408224 1790.465606 2859.027302 4357.898557 6326.354720 9040.836373
2025-03-02 555.474299 1042.589140 1765.270676 2857.716452 4404.472005 6451.181229 9291.553337
2025-03-09 541.696697 1036.030622 1778.310120 2910.875791 4526.538312 6677.374368 9677.418290
2025-03-16 509.124779 997.306295 1741.603808 2890.605319 4545.177294 6764.403840 9879.330062
2025-03-23 500.143552 996.811603 1762.397349 2954.179855 4681.847887 7011.454460 10295.814082